Sonya Savage, MLA
Minister of Energy
Suite 7223, 8650 – 112th Avenue NW
Calgary, AB Canada T3R 0R5
Mr Christopher Bek
602, 1133 Eighth Avenue SW
Calgary AB Canada T2P 1J7
The Theory of One
The Bernoulli Model
14 September 2019
Subject—Art and Moral Choice
Quotation—The time has come, the Walrus said, to speak of many things.
—Lewis Carroll (1832–1898)
I am writing to you today to reintroduce myself, tell you about my books, introduce The Bernoulli Model, and propose eight projects for which you may be interested in investing. I spent a year developing The Bernoulli Model as a spreadsheet application that applies the principles of scientific management to the engineering of portfolio theory.
I am a mathematician, actuary, philosopher, scientist and published writer—and a superior spreadsheet, database and risk modeling craftsman. I have consulted to the top executives of one of the largest companies in Canada—and have made presentations relating to the philosophy and science of risk management in Houston and New York. I have excellent analytical, mathematical modeling and writing skills. I have operated PhilosophyMagazine.com since 1 January 2001. I recently invested $16,000 to upgrade RiskServices.com on WordPress—with 2,000 visitors a day
The Theory of One solves the greatest scientific problem of all time by uniting relativity theory with quantum theory. Relativity is based on light speed and quantum theory is based on Planck’s constant. I solved the problem by recognizing that light speed and Planck’s constant are boundaries of the spacetime continuum. And whereas The Theory of One puts a frame of reference around the universe, Existentialism Now localizes our existence within the universe. It identifies behaviorism as a problem in society and existentialism as the cure. Existentialism asks us to take the responsibility that comes with freedom. It is the philosophy for man where existence precedes essence. Like relativity and quantum theory, existentialism tells us reality is subjective.
The Bernoulli Model is a risk management and decisionmaking methodology that presents the same consistent storyboard for all organizational risk factors. The storyboard sits atop a stylish engineered portfolio of scientific management algorithms that form an advanced forecasting system that is mathematically accessible to executives. It is named after a family of Swiss mathematicians who lived several hundred years ago and is founded on portfolio theory developed by Harry Markowitz at the University of Chicago during the 1950s. Markowitz forever linked reward with risk in the same way that Einstein linked space with time in that both the expected outcome and the attendant uncertainty of outcome are required to complete the picture. I spent a year developing The Bernoulli Model based in Excel/VBA as a realization of the dream of portfolio theory. I have a mountain range of evidence to support my arguments on display with my website, my books, on Facebook and with my weekly thoughts.
I am proposing eight, one-year, twenty-four thousand dollar projects starting with The Bernoulli Decision Model. I added four optional steps for applying risk-reward decision-making at the executive level to other organizational risk factors. I have included Projects A, B and C to show there are plenty of ways I can add value and multiply utility.
Copy—Kent Hehr, MP; Joe Ceci, MLA; Scott Dalton, Encana; Gordon Sick, University of Calgary
|1. The Bernoulli Decision Model||Validate and update existing model. Model is based on statistical decision theory applied to risk management thru the practice of actuarial science. Could work with the University of Calgary.|
|2. Historical Currency Rate Analysis||Build on previous currency foreign exchange rate modeling. Break down rates into signal/wave/noise components for daily values of twenty foreign currencies over the past forty years.|
|3. Monte Carlo Currency Forecasting||Build on historical rate analysis in forecasting signal/wave/noise components separately and then integrate with Monte Carlo
simulation by calculating the moments of the simulated total.
|4. Energy Rate Analysis||Build on the modeling of currency rates and apply it to energy rate analysis both historical and forecasting. Model energy rates based on chaos theory and the self-similarities of risk factors.|
|5. Insurable Risk Model||Build on previous insurance risk-retention modeling and studies. For insurable risk factors including property, liability and business interruption.|
|A. Purchase Books||Purchase 800 copies of three books for students: The Theory of One, Existentialism Now and The Bernoulli Model.|
|B. YouTube Videos||Create videos for The Theory of One, Existentialism Now and The Bernoulli Model. Could work with Rumble House.|
|C. Philosophy Magazine Publications||Philosophy Magazine and the Risk Management Review have mailed out over 100 essays since 1996 to over 6000 people. Could sell subscriptions worldwide. Could work with NEXUS Magazine.|
God is the sum total of the laws of nature. —Albert Einstein (1879-1955)
A soul weighs more than the whole universe. —Blaise Pascal (1623-1662)
Genius is the art of generalizing and choosing. —Eugène Delacroix (1798-1863)
Be bold the mighty forces will come to your aid. —Johanne Goethe (1749-1832)